At an individual level the chances of dying of coronavirus is low.
- Over the whole epidemic, even if there is no vaccine, a high proportion will not get it.
- Of those who do, a significant proportion (exact number not yet clear) have no symptoms.
- Of the symptomatic cases, the great majority (around 80%) a mild moderate disease.
- A minority will have to go to hospital, most need only oxygen. The great majority of these survive.
- A minority of those need ventilation.
- A minority of every age group sadly die with current treatment, but even of the oldest group most do not.
Above was shewn to an audience at Gresham College, London on the 30th April 2020.
Chris Whitty – Chief Medical Officer and DHSC Chief Scientific Adviser.
The full video of this Chris Whitty lecture can be heard here.